Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000704 0.000806 0.000915 0.001038 0.001175 0.001320 0.001486
2025-01-26 0.000557 0.000701 0.000865 0.001063 0.001295 0.001556 0.001870
2025-02-02 0.000480 0.000643 0.000836 0.001080 0.001377 0.001722 0.002151
2025-02-09 0.000403 0.000574 0.000786 0.001063 0.001411 0.001828 0.002360
2025-02-16 0.000343 0.000515 0.000738 0.001040 0.001431 0.001911 0.002538
2025-02-23 0.000306 0.000484 0.000722 0.001053 0.001492 0.002043 0.002776
2025-03-02 0.000274 0.000455 0.000704 0.001060 0.001544 0.002163 0.003000
2025-03-09 0.000235 0.000411 0.000661 0.001030 0.001543 0.002212 0.003133
2025-03-16 0.000202 0.000371 0.000621 0.000999 0.001537 0.002254 0.003254
2025-03-23 0.000181 0.000348 0.000603 0.000997 0.001570 0.002344 0.003441
2025-03-30 0.000163 0.000328 0.000586 0.000997 0.001603 0.002435 0.003629
2025-04-06 0.000144 0.000304 0.000563 0.000984 0.001617 0.002500 0.003782
2025-04-13 0.000126 0.000279 0.000537 0.000965 0.001622 0.002552 0.003921
2025-04-20 0.000117 0.000272 0.000537 0.000987 0.001688 0.002692 0.004185
2025-04-27 0.000109 0.000263 0.000534 0.001004 0.001747 0.002822 0.004436
2025-05-04 0.000096 0.000243 0.000512 0.000987 0.001752 0.002876 0.004580
2025-05-11 0.000083 0.000224 0.000488 0.000966 0.001750 0.002916 0.004705
2025-05-18 0.000077 0.000216 0.000483 0.000978 0.001798 0.003033 0.004942
2025-05-25 0.000071 0.000207 0.000477 0.000985 0.001840 0.003139 0.005164
2025-06-01 0.000061 0.000189 0.000451 0.000956 0.001822 0.003156 0.005256
2025-06-08 0.000052 0.000171 0.000426 0.000927 0.001802 0.003167 0.005339
2025-06-15 0.000047 0.000162 0.000416 0.000925 0.001827 0.003246 0.005524
2025-06-22 0.000042 0.000154 0.000407 0.000925 0.001852 0.003329 0.005715